Considering the unprecedented global travel disruption and performance declines we've endured; hoteliers finally have something to look forward to. The world has spent the last 18 months dreaming about travel, but not actually going anywhere. Increasing vaccination rates combined with relaxed travel restrictions are bringing travel back… with a vengeance. Most agree that the worst is behind us.

But so far, this pent-up demand or "revenge" travel is different. Driven almost entirely by domestic leisure demand, the patterns have changed. Some premium locations are already exceeding 2019 pre-COVID levels, while hotels just a few blocks away are still struggling. Hotels that targeted the corporate, international, or group segments are reinventing themselves, with mixed success.

Considering the unique nature of the recovery, what should hoteliers do to optimize and manage COVID's pent-up demand?

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Hoteliers need to be up to date with Macro and Micro trends, their lead times and watch their seasonality. It will be a game of "peek a boo" over the next 12-18 months as we are hearing "recovery" on some parts of the world yet on other parts we are going back into lockdowns. Destinations are now more important than ever.

I fundamentally disagree with the statement: The worst is not behind us...I believe the worst is still ahead of us! What will happen if governments stop supporting yet businesses have not enough demand? We hear in many places about zombie businesses - only alive because of subsidies. 

For those who are standing and ready to overcome the next 18 months:

A) Seasonality - you will see more extremes - higher highs, lower lows. Harvest when you can, wind back when needed. and all of that destination driven!

B) Macro / Micro trends - governments will do what is best for THEIR citizens, not others. They will restrict, enhance, etc. at short notice.

C) Lead times - current ultra short will relax a little (to short short) and driven by point B and A

On top of that we will see a new generation of pricing and marketing emerge. The old blasting and email offers will be out. Advanced purchases will take on a new form and payment form might just become the newest way on how to price

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