WASHINGTON, DC – The International Trade Administration (ITA) today released the U.S. federal government’s official forecast of international visitation to the United States.

ITA’s National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) forecasts the total volume of international visitation to the United States to increase to 62.8 million in 2023, up 11 million, or 21.2%, from a total 51.8 million visitors in 2022. The forecast also estimates international visitation to reach 82.4 million in 2025, surpassing pre-pandemic 2019 visitation of 79.4 million.

Additionally, international visitation is forecasted to reach 91 million in 2027. If reached, this would exceed the 90 million five-year visitor goal set by the 2022 National Travel and Tourism Strategy to rebuild and strengthen the industry. It is estimated that 90 million international visitors would spend $279 billion across the nation. Today’s announcement is welcome news for so many Americans across the country whose jobs depend on a strong travel and tourism sector and underscores that this Administration’s plans for economic recovery is on the right track, said Mark Keam, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Travel and Tourism.

The international visitation forecast includes actual annual visitation for years 2019-2022 and forecasted annual visitor volume for years 2023-2027. The forecast covers: Total All Countries; Overseas (which excludes Canada and Mexico); and the 18 largest source markets based on 2019 visitor volume. The forecast of international visitation includes three measurements: volume (in thousands); annual percent change; and share of 2019 volume for each covered source market.

Download NTTO’s full data forecast.

About The International Trade Administration (ITA)

The ADIS/I-94 Visitor Arrivals Program, in cooperation with the Department of Homeland Security (DHS)/U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), provides a count of visitor arrivals (Overseas+Canada+Mexico) to the United States (with stays of 1-night or more and visiting under certain visa types) and is used to calculate U.S. travel and tourism exports. Visit the ADIS/I-94 Visitor Arrivals Program home page for more information on U.S. visitor arrivals.

The APIS/I-92 Program provides information on non-stop international air traffic between the United States and other countries. The data has been collected from the Department of Homeland Security - Customs and Border Protection's Advance Passenger Information System (APIS) since July 2010. The APIS based "I-92" system provides air traffic data on the following parameters: number of passengers, by country, airport, scheduled or chartered, U.S. Flag, foreign flag, citizens and non-citizens. Visit the APIS/I-92 Data Program home page for more information on airline travel to and from the United States.

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