STR, TE maintain projections in first U.S. hotel forecast of 2024
STR and Tourism Economics made minimal adjustments to growth projections in the first U.S. hotel forecast of 2024 just released at the Americas Lodging Investment Summit (ALIS).
STR and Tourism Economics made minimal adjustments to growth projections in the first U.S. hotel forecast of 2024 just released at the Americas Lodging Investment Summit (ALIS).
For 2024, growth in average daily rate (ADR) was raised by 0.1 percentage points, while occupancy and revenue per available room (RevPAR) were unchanged from the previous forecast. For 2025, growth projections for each of the key performance metrics were downgraded due to the long-term, average trends beginning to stabilize: occupancy (-0.1 ppts), ADR (-0.3 ppts) and RevPAR (-0.5 ppts).
“U.S. ADR and RevPAR reached record highs in 2023 with solid travel fundamentals and a big year for group business underpinning performance,” said Amanda Hite, STR president. “We expect to see continued growth as fundamentals remain more favorable for the travel economy. The indicator that is especially important is the low unemployment rate among college-educated individuals, those most likely to travel for business and leisure.”
“The economic outlook has improved, but we still expect a deceleration in economic growth, characterized by softer labor markets and business sector caution,” said Aran Ryan, director of industry studies at Tourism Economics, “Modest lodging demand growth will be supported by household prioritization of travel, a continued rebuilding of business travel and group events, and a rebound in international visitation.”
“We anticipate GOPPAR to grow as a result of improved TRevPAR levels coupled with stable labor costs,” said Hite. “Among the chain scales, luxury and upper upscale hotels are projected to see the largest increases in those costs as a result of growing group demand.
About Tourism Economics
Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company, focuses on the intersection of the economy and travel sector, providing actionable insights to our clients. We provide our worldwide client base with direct access to the most comprehensive set of historic and forecast travel data available. And our team of specialist economists develops custom economic impact studies, policy analysis, and forecast models.
About CoStar Group, Inc.
CoStar Group (NASDAQ: CSGP) is a global leader in commercial real estate information, analytics, online marketplaces, and 3D digital twin technology. Founded in 1986, CoStar Group is dedicated to digitizing the world’s real estate, empowering all people to discover properties, insights, and connections that improve their businesses and lives.
CoStar Group’s major brands include CoStar, a leading global provider of commercial real estate data, analytics, and news; LoopNet, the most trafficked commercial real estate marketplace; Apartments.com, the leading platform for apartment rentals; Homes.com, the fastest-growing residential real estate marketplace; and Domain, one of Australia’s leading property marketplaces. CoStar Group’s industry-leading brands also include Matterport, a leading spatial data company whose platform turns buildings into data to make every space more valuable and accessible; STR, a global leader in hospitality data and benchmarking; Ten-X, an online platform for commercial real estate auctions and negotiated bids; and OnTheMarket, a leading residential property portal in the United Kingdom.
CoStar Group’s websites attracted over 139 million average monthly unique visitors in the fourth quarter of 2025, serving clients around the world. Headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, CoStar Group is committed to transforming the real estate industry through innovative technology and comprehensive market intelligence. From time to time, we plan to utilize our corporate website as a channel of distribution for material company information. For more information, visit CoStarGroup.com.