Expert Views (10)

The Cloudbeds data is striking, but let’s be honest — a 21.8% OTA cancellation rate isn’t just a distribution problem. It’s a relationship problem. OTA bookers aren’t disloyal by nature; they’re simply responding rationally to a system that hotels helped create. 

When a guest can book a hotel through five channels and find five slightly different prices, they begin to treat their reservation like a placeholder, not a commitment. Cancellation becomes a strategy, not an exception. 

The real question isn’t how to reduce cancellations — it’s how to make guests want to keep their bookings. That requires hotels to compete on value, not just rate. Exclusive direct booking perks, authentic pre-arrival outreach, and meaningful loyalty touchpoints aren’t luxuries — they’re essentially retention tools. 

Hotels also need to revisit their own cancellation policies. Lenient, free-cancellation-for-all pricing may feel guest-friendly but often encourages speculative booking. A structured, tiered policy — flexible for direct, firmer for OTA — creates natural incentives for guests to book where commitment is rewarded. 

Reducing cancellations starts with giving people a reason to stay committed. That, fundamentally, is a hospitality-driven challenge, not a distribution one.

What can hotels do to decrease their cancellation rates? 

  • Maintain Rate Parity! If travelers find a lower rate for your hotel on the OTAs, they can cancel their direct booking and be tempted to book your hotel on the OTA or be lured away by a competitor with lower rate or better value. 
  • Maintain Market Parity! Are your rates on par with competition and market conditions? Rate monitoring/rate shopping technology can help you automate the process.
  • Offer Advance Booking Specials: Introduce 7-, 14- or 21-day advance booking rates (based on the prevailing booking windows) at 15%-20% discount that are non-refundable, or at least make the first night non-refundable. 
  • One super successful approach for reducing cancellations is changing your marketing strategy from selling on rate alone to selling on value. Do you have enticing weekend specials, spa packages, family packages, activity packages, special occasion and F&B packages and promotions, etc. that travelers cannot find on the OTAs or at the competition?

At my company NextGuest, now part of Cendyn, we have always recommended the above to our hotel clients. When these recommendations were implemented, cancellation rates plummeted by 50%-75%.

High cancellation rates – particularly for OTA bookings – are a growing challenge for hotels. They make planning harder, put pressure on rates, and often lead to last‑minute discounting that hurts overall performance. While some cancellations are unavoidable, many happen because travelers feel uncertain at the time of booking – or, because it’s so easy to keep shopping after they’ve booked. 

To reduce cancellations, hotels need to give guests stronger reasons to stick with their reservation. That starts with clearly communicating value. Guests should know what makes their stay worthwhile, whether that’s flexible options, personalized benefits, or experiences they won’t find elsewhere. Simply matching prices isn’t always enough if competing offers feel easier or more appealing. 

Data can also play a big role. By spotting high‑risk bookings early, hotels can engage guests before arrival with the right incentive at the right time. And finally, cancellation policies matter. The most effective ones strike a balance – giving guests flexibility while still encouraging genuine commitment to the booking. 

At the end of the day, lowering the cancellation rate is less about tightening rules and more about helping guests feel confident in the decision they’ve already made. 

There are a couple of factors here:

Free Cancellation - That some OTA's offer free cancellation results in traveller's making multiple reservations for a destination and deciding closer to the date. This distorts....everything. Artificial demand is highly destructive to consistent rate setting and what might appear as normal rate growth/decline based upon the combination of lead time and demand.

Price Monitoring - Several providers now offer rate monitoring, if not actual communication noting that the rate has increased/decreased for the stay dates. Either promoting cancellation or promoting rebooking. Once again, volatility artificially increasing demand and impacting stable rate setting.

In the grand scheme of things, it is the consumer approach to revenue management and dynamic pricing. For all the changes we make, they make their own to counter.

More will come of this scenario in the future as external parties focus on price setting behavior in the broader travel and hospitality industry. Probably not without cause.

Hotels should use these valuable mechanisms and levers as a benefit to book direct. Reserved only for their direct relationship customers.

Soon, full prepayment will come to industry, which will curtail this behavior generally. Five reservations fully prepaid will make people stop and think.

The OTA guest has zero emotional skin in the game. Free cancellation is the product. They book three hotels and decide later. You're a placeholder, not a choice.

So what actually moves the needle?

First, fixing your rate parity. If the guest finds the same room cheaper on Booking after they've booked direct, they cancel and rebook. You taught them to shop around.

Second, make direct booking feel different. Not cheaper. BETTER. Earlier check-in, room preference. Give them a reason to commit. Add a value that OTAs can't compete against.

Third, use non-refundable rates intelligently. Not as a punishment, but as a value exchange. Discount + commitment = lower cancellation + guaranteed revenue.

The Hotels winning this fight are the ones making direct feel like the obvious choice from the first click, not the ones blocking OTAs.

Implement these actions and you'll see the % of direct bookings increase.

It’s largely OTA platform design that is driving this trend. OTAs like Expedia and Booking.com benefit from speculative booking behavior, whereby a guest books multiple options and decides later. This low-friction environment inflates gross bookings on OTA platforms while intensifying competition amongst hoteliers. It is ultimately designed to promote the “illusion of choice” and appeal to price-driven consumer behavior.

Beyond the “brand” promise of value, reliability, aesthetics, service, and amenities etc. (independent properties have a brand promise too), properties can leverage pricing policies and guest communication to reduce cancellation rates.

A tiered pricing structure consisting of a premium-priced fully flexible rate, semi-flexible rate with a defined cancellation window, and a non-refundable rate, may be an effective strategy for some properties.

Pre-arrival communication is also critical in establishing a relationship with a guest. A guest with an emotional connection to a property is less likely to cancel. Offering curated experiences, tailored upsell opportunities, and early access to amenities such as spa, golf, or F&B outlets can meaningfully improve booking retention.

The real opportunity isn’t just driving bookings, but converting them into high-quality committed stays.

My view is relatively straightforward: what we describe as “high cancellations” is not an anomaly, but rather the (logical) outcome of how the systems have been designed.

Across a wide range of platforms, starting with Booking.com, users are encouraged, almost trained, to hold multiple options at once, reserving several hotels in parallel and deciding later which one to keep. At the same time, these very platforms continue to intervene after the booking, sending reminders, alternative offers, and suggestions that subtly reopen a decision that, in theory, had already been made. In this context, a booking is a placeholder...

From this perspective, cancellations reflect a model in which flexibility is not simply a feature but an expectation, and optionality takes precedence over certainty. Volatility, therefore, becomes embedded in the logic of distribution itself.

At this point, the question is less about eliminating cancellations and more about operating within a framework where they are structurally inevitable.

Most effective way to reduce cancellation rates is to revise cancellation policies.

The flexibility necessary during the pandemic is no longer needed. Back are the advance purchases and associated discounts.

But we also need to understand why guests cancel in the first place. Tracking cancellation reasons and having detailed insights into cancellation window, weekday patterns, etc. is just as important as for actual bookings.

And with a little extra engagement, maybe you can turn what would have been a cancellation into a booking that stayed and maybe a loyal guest for years to come.

This study brings us back to the issue of how OTAs “standardize” hotel offerings, reducing a hotel’s distinctive identity and making price, in most cases, the only real decision-making factor.

Reducing cancellations is not simple, and there is no universal rule, as it largely depends on the type of property and the nature of the business. However, one principle remains universal: focusing on value and building a direct relationship with the guest from the moment of booking, supported by immediate follow-up to personalize the future stay experience and make the guest feel cared for from the very beginning.

Another approach is to differentiate the added value of direct bookings by including extra services where possible (e.g., spa access, parking, or a welcome gift) that are not available through intermediaries. This not only discourages bookings via third parties but also enhances the perceived value, making price comparison and “shopping around” less relevant in the decision-making process. In some cases, it may also be beneficial to differentiate the cancellation policy, offering more favorable terms on the direct channel, or tailoring it according to room types or specific seasonal periods.

Hotels can reduce cancellation rates by fixing the problems they actually control, not by hoping guest behavior changes.

The Cloudbeds 2026 State of Independent Hotels Report makes one fact unavoidable: OTA bookings cancel at twice the rate of direct bookings, 21.8% versus 10.6%. That is not a marginal difference. It is a structural flaw in how most hotels distribute and manage demand. Over-reliance on OTAs does not just increase distribution costs, it injects volatility directly into occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR.

The most immediate lever is real-time rate parity. Cancellation is a rational response when guests discover a lower price after booking. Manual audits are obsolete. Without automated parity monitoring, hotels are effectively subsidizing their own cancellations.

Pre-arrival engagement is the second blind spot. The booking-to-arrival window is where cancellation decisions happen. Personalized communications, upsells, and experience-driven touchpoints create emotional commitment that price alone cannot undo.

Finally, cancellation policy design must be treated as revenue strategy, not guest relations. Segmented policies, properly priced flexibility, and loyalty incentives separate committed demand from speculative bookings.

The hotels winning in today’s volatile market are not chasing occupancy. They are actively managing cancellation risk as a core commercial KPI.