Beyond Revenue Growth: HVS Takeaways from The Lodging Conference
HVS shares takeaways from the 2026 Lodging Conference: 5% RevPAR growth expected by year-end, but rising costs, debt pressures, and loan maturities are eroding hotel profitability.
HVS shares takeaways from the 2026 Lodging Conference: 5% RevPAR growth expected by year-end, but rising costs, debt pressures, and loan maturities are eroding hotel profitability.
German hotel investment volume fell to €600M in H1 2026 from €1.1B a year earlier, while operating metrics held steady with RevPAR flat at €74 and prime yields stable at 6.5%.
Munich hotels posted 2.1% revenue growth in YE August 2026 but GOP fell 1.1% to €68.7 PAR as costs rose faster, with RevPAR down 0.4% due to a 1.5% ADR decline.
European RevPAR grew 3.0% YoY in H1 2026, hotel transaction volumes topped €11.5bn (22% above 10-year average), and luxury assets dominated investment at 46% of total volume.
Albuquerque hotel rates peak at $265/week during the 2026 Balloon Fiesta, up 10% YoY, with data suggesting post-event demand on Oct 12-14 is being underpriced.
Japan hotel rates are rising sharply for the autumn foliage period, with 19 of 22 destinations above annual averages, led by Nagoya (+31%) and Kanazawa (+28%), as domestic demand offsets slowing inbound tourism in 2026.
Europe hotel investment reached €11.7B in H1 2026, 19.5% above the 10-year average, with RevPAR up 3% YoY to €101 and Milan surging 24% on Winter Olympics demand.
Downtown Dallas hotels face soft occupancy through 2030 due to convention center renovation, but FIFA 2026, a $3.8B KBHCCD overhaul, and major Uptown corporate and hotel investments point to long-term recovery.
Greater Paris hotels posted RevPAR of €116 (+3.7%) in H1 2026, while investment volume hit €845M across 21 hotels, skewed by the Pullman Tour Eiffel deal.
Italian hotel investment hit €1.3bn in H1 2026, 53% above the 10-year average, while RevPAR grew 11.3%, ranking Italy among Europe's top performers, boosted by Milan's Winter Olympics effect.
HVS forecasts healthy U.S. hotel performance through year-end, with ADR outperforming expectations, youth sports driving summer demand, staffing shifts toward contract labor, and transaction volume up 14% in H1 2026.
Houston hotels saw ADR rise 5.8% to $131.67 during FIFA World Cup 2026, with match-night premiums reaching 53%, while citywide occupancy remained flat at 61.6%.
CBRE's Nordic hotel market update for September 2026 shows record visitor numbers, EUR 751m in investment across 22 deals YTD, and RevPAR growth across all four countries led by Stockholm at +12.0%.
Nagoya hotel rates for the week of Sept 21 hit JPY 48,399, 123% above the city's 2026 annual average, driven by inventory removal for athletes rather than a major demand surge.
The GSA raised the standard CONUS lodging allowance from $110 to $113 for FY2027, with the 7-year trend showing 18% standard rate growth and over 100% growth in markets like New York City.
YTD data through July shows US GOPPAR up 7.8%, but regional and chain-scale divergence, Mexico's double-digit declines, and F&B cost pressure demand property-by-property 2027 budget modeling.
Warsaw's hotel market reached near-decade-high occupancy of ~80% and a nominal RevPAR record in 2025, outperforming CEE-6 peers despite leading the region in new room supply growth since 2016.
HVS analysis finds St. Louis hotel market regaining strength through 2026-2027, driven by convention center upgrades, defense industry expansion, and over $7B in downtown and infrastructure development.
Lighthouse's H1 2026 pricing report finds Europe up 6.2% YoY, Vietnam surging 36%, the UAE down 48.1% in H2 advertised prices, and value-seekers boosting three-star and independent hotels globally.
LARC forecasts 2026 U.S. RevPAR growth of 5.1%, buoyed by FIFA World Cup and corporate transient strength, with growth moderating to 2.1% in 2027 as group demand slows and AI investment reshapes business travel.