We at Hudson Crossing have been working hard on attribute based shopping concepts since 2017 and we believe that ABS represents a fundamental, and highly lucrative, shift in the way hotels will distribute products in the coming years. Further, this shift will take a lot of effort for hotels, but we'll argue here that outsize rewards will accrue to early adopters.
Hotels have traditionally moved very slowly when changing their distribution fundamentals, especially with respect to their technology. Remember the first promises for a converged CRS and PMS from the early 1990s? It's finally here! But while hotels like to move very deliberately, technology itself has no such compunctions, and companies that want to leverage modern methods are zooming ahead of legacy providers. For example, look at what Cloudbeds is doing to PMS and Tripactions is doing to corporate travel. These are new market disrupters who are using technology to not only wedge their way into a legacy-dominated market, they're also using that new technology to work their way upmarket quickly.
Why mention disrupters in a piece about ABS? To highlight that the hotel industry's days of waiting, and waiting, and waiting to see what happens, are O.V.E.R. Just as modern technology like micro service platforms running on public clouds are letting the hotel-tech Davids slay their Goliaths in bunches, the tools they're using are letting more technologically savvy hotel companies leapfrog bigger competitors— and this time the chances of the laggards eventually catching up are just about nil.
Here's one way to think about it:
·If you agree that ABS will provide a purchasing experience that at least some customers will prefer, then there will be some hotels that will provide it as the technology becomes more readily available.
Among the distribution companies with whom we've explored ABS, only Amadeus currently appears to have a production-ready, enterprise class distribution system with real ABS, but others are already offering smaller scale ABS engines. (We say 'real' here because there are lots of distribution companies, including some of the largest hotel companies in discussing their proprietary systems, who are touting ABS but are actually delivering attribute based filtering. If you're not sure of the difference, take a look at our ABS white paper at Hudsoncrossing.com for a discussion of the differences.)
·If some hotels will be distributing their products with ABS, then those hotels will have an advantage in driving customers to direct channels and in how they appear in meta channels.
Why? For technical reasons around the way that rooms are system-assigned in an ABS world, it will be exceedingly difficult to provide ABS through a channel that relies on local ARI caching. That means larger OTAs, wholesalers, and the like will not have access to the ABS experience (or, at best, just a small piece of it) and travelers who want to use ABS shopping will have to come directly to hotels to get it. We believe travelers will be very interested in using ABS for a variety of reasons—it will not just be a small group of price shoppers.
As for the advantage in meta channels, think about what happens in the display when non-ABS hotels are showing prices for their traditional products next to the ABS hotels that are able to show the price for their basic, “bed only” option. It's like the OTA/meta airline displays back when network carriers were showing their main cabin prices next to low cost carriers who showed basic economy. Incidentally, how did network carriers compete with the LCCs? They implemented the airline equivalent of ABS and started selling fare families and individual 'attributes' of the flight.
It's not a great leap of faith to see that ABS is already in place, is progressing, and that hoteliers that adopt it will have a distinct advantage in the marketplace vs. those that don't. There is another piece of ABS that hoteliers need to think deeply about: the risk of delay. In a world where technological advances like converged CRS-PMS have taken 25 years to appear, hotels have become very comfortable with the approach of “let's wait a couple of years and see how this plays out.” While that's worked before, we'd argue those days are over for ABS and are likely over for all hotel tech initiatives. There are many reasons for this, but we'll offer two that apply especially to ABS.
1.As many have noted, ABS is a big change in the way hotel products are offered and the ramifications in hotel distribution are very substantial. Over time, hotel companies will rethink just about every aspect of distribution and associated systems such as RMS, CRM, and loyalty as the opportunities enabled by ABS emerge. For most hotel companies, this is something that will take years to deliver from the date when everybody puts hand to heart and jumps into the ABS world. Said differently, there is no way to wait a few years and then get on an already moving train. If you wait those years, you will be starting essentially at square one when you finally agree to move forward—and the early adopters will be years ahead.
2.As we outlined in our ABS white paper, once hotels have an ABS-aware distribution system and and ABS-aware revenue management system (another wholesale rewrite) they will be able to create offers based on personalized attribute bundles rather than the old, blunt instruments of room types and rate plans. That personalization will require a new type of CRM (or possibly CDP, or customer data platform) to create the bundles and the capabilities of these next-gen RMS and CRM/CDP systems will be way beyond the ability of humans to steer directly. In the same way that todays pilots manage computers that actually fly the planes and surgeons manage computers that perform complex surgeries, hoteliers will depend on AI-driven RMS and CDP systems that learn how to manage offers and prices based on the data that passes before them. That data will be what makes these system perform better every day, and you won't be able to collect that data to feed these systems until you start operating in an ABS world, but once you do, the capabilities of the AI will get exponentially better.
To summarize, it doesn't take a leap of faith to see that if at least some companies adopt ABS, then those that don't will be at a disadvantage. Further, and possibly more important, adoption delays today will have disastrous effects in the future. It will take several years to get the distribution-connected systems like RMS and CRM ready to function in an ABS world and ready to start collecting data. Once the more forward thinking hotel companies start collecting that data for their price optimization and personalization AI, they will move ahead of the laggards at an accelerating rate.