Historical data has become completely obsolete because of the pandemic and the current inflation. If your King Room went for $200 on September 20th of 2019 at 75% occupancy, how much should you charge in 2022 at 60% occupancy, citywides down by 70%; corporate groups down by 40%; corporate transients down 35% and Inflation at 8.5%? This is becoming an impossible task for humans to compute.
A typical hotel must make tens of thousands even hundreds of thousands pricing decisions a year and it has become virtually impossible for humans to stay on top of the complexities of revenue management, a trend that existed even before the pandemic.
So what is the solution? Human-less day-to-day revenue management is the only way going forward.
A human-less, AI-powered revenue management system (RMS) can make thousands and thousands of smart and precise pricing decisions a day and implement them automatically by making sense IN REAL TIME of dozens and dozens "live" data feeds: future demand data, comp set and market-wide BI, competitor rate shopping (hotel comp set and short-term rental comp set), property's sentiment index derived from thousands of customer reviews about the property and the comp set, booking pace, website booking denials and user browsing behavior, corporate group and negotiated business on the books, repeat business projections from the CRM platform, non-room revenue opportunities, and yes, historical data.
Only an AI-powered RMS can provide the pricing suggestions for upsells and upgrades for the new advance room selection capabilities, already taking the industry by storm. These applications allow your guests to select an available room from a digital floor plan of the property during the mobile check-in process 24-48 hours prior to arrival. Travel consumers are already accustomed to choosing online airline seats, movie theater seats, opera seats, etc., why not hotel rooms? This capability has already started to generate significant additional revenue for Hilton Hotels and many other hotels. You want a room away from the elevator? It's $12 more. A room on a higher floor? $25 more. Upgrade to a suite for $50? I am convinced room selection will become the norm within the next few years. The new Oracle Hospitality Integration Hub already offers a similar partner application.
All of these RM complexities and the sheer number of pricing decisions that need to be made in a 24/7 fashion makes it obvious why humans are no longer capable of running and should not be involved in the day-to-day revenue management.
Why is the subject of human-provided services in hospitality so important?
There are three extremely important issues plaguing the industry today that need immediate resolution: a)never-ending labor shortages, b) unsustainable labor costs and c) inability to provide adequate services to the exceedingly tech-savvy and DIY (do-it-yourself) customers.
In the foreseeable future, I believe that full-service 3, 4, 5-star hotels will still need human revenue management strategists who can devise the property's pricing strategies, set the property-specific revenue management goals and parameters, serve as the RMS AI's trainer, identify and input citywide events and conventions and other times of accommodation constraints, and review periodically the RMS pricing decisions. All of this can be performed by an in-house RM manager or outsourced to a specialized RM consultancy.
The hospitality tech marketplace offers some great and reasonably priced RMS technologies for every hotel category and budget: IDEAS, Duetto, Infor RMS, Atomize, RoomPriceGenie, SHR Wave RMS, etc. Yet, less than 10% of independent hotels around the world have an RMS in place (Libra).
Why is that? It is not the cost - all RMS systems offer flexible PRPM (per room/per month) fees, now all of the RMS tech is cloud-based so there is no expensive hardware or IT personnel needed to maintain and install updates. In addition, especially for budget, economy, lower-midscale and small hotels, an automated RMS replaces the need for human revenue managers.
So why is it then? The fear of new technology, reluctance to learn new applications, lack of qualified staff to select the right RMS solution and coordinate the implementation, inertia ("We have always used an Excel spreadsheet"), and definitely lack of understanding about the revenue upside an RMS technology provides.
If I were an RMS vendor, I will NOT charge PRPM fees the first 12 months of engagement. I will charge 10%-15% from the upside: revenue above and beyond a negotiated benchmark, which could be anything: the STR projected RevPAR increase for the destination, room revenue above budget, and once travel normalizes, above the same period of the previous year.