On December 31, 2021, the constant maturity, 10-year U.S. Treasury note (the 10-year) stood at 1.52 percent. The 10-year now hovers around 3.0 percent and the prospects for higher rates appear good. During the data period for the analysis presented below, the 10-year ranged from 0.65 percent to 6.70 percent and last exceeded 5.0 percent in 2006. A concern among commercial real estate investors (especially hotel investors because of the high sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions) is a rate-driven economic slowdown that threatens property income growth. Given the linkages across capital market rates, investors are concerned about the possible upward movement in hotel capitalization rates (cap rates) promoted by increasing 10-year rates. This blog addresses the sensitivity of hotel cap rates to changes in the 10-year.