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Report
March 13, 2017

Market Pulse: St. Louis, MO

St. Louis is poised to enter a post-recovery phase of economic development and expansion that should continue to support the recent growth of the region's hotel market. Numerous proposed developments and business expansions are anticipated to pave the way for continued transient and extended-stay lodging demand growth. Meanwhile, the convention center is operating at new peak capacity. While the growth of hotel supply has begun to accelerate, it remains modest in comparison to most major markets across the country, and is expected to stay in check through the near term. As such, St. Louis is ripe with hotel investment opportunities, provided that buyers and developers exercise appropriate due diligence and market research to identify assets and locations that will provide fruitful returns.

Tim Sauer
By Tim Sauer, Senior Project Manager at HVS St. Louis, HVS
St. Louis, Missouri, United States
Pinnacle Advisory Group
Report
February 28, 2017

Snapshot of the Washington DC Metropolitan Region’s Lodging Market

2016 was a solid year for the Washington DC Metropolitan region's lodging market. According to Smith Travel Research (STR), the year-end 2016 RevPAR growth for the Washington DC MD VA region was up 4.9% over 2015, ranking it 9th of the 25 top markets it tracks. The region was 4th of 25 in terms of occupancy growth at 2.2%, but 18th of 25 in ADR growth at 2.7%. The predominance of demand tied to the Federal Government and the government lodging per diem continues to limit some of the region's pricing power. While more press is given to business and tourism demand in downtown Washington, DC, neighboring suburbs, particularly Arlington County in Virginia, and Montgomery County in Maryland, are also contributing to the region's solid growth statistics despite challenges in these suburban office markets.

Anne Purcell
By Anne Purcell, Vice President with Pinnacle Advisory Group, Pinnacle Advisory Group
Washington, District of Columbia, United States
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Report
February 15, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Houston, TX

Houston is a city of DOERS, per the latest ad campaign presented by Chevron and released in advance of Super Bowl LI, held in Houston on February 5, 2017. The ad incites the can-do spirit of a city without limits. A city that is a global leader in energy and healthcare, that consistently ranks near the top for fastest growing major metro areas, and that once put a man on the moon. While the "We choose to go to the Moon" days are gone (but not forgotten), Houston's reputation as a tough, resilient, city of DOERS remains.

J. Carter Allen
By J. Carter Allen, Managing Director, HVS
Houston, Texas, United States
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Report
February 15, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Irvine, CA

In square miles, Irvine is the largest city in Orange County, California. Irvine is also one of the most expansive master-planned communities in the nation, developed in the 1960s by the Irvine Company and incorporated in 1971. For consecutive years, MONEY magazine has named Irvine one of the best places in the U.S. (the city ranked 20th in 2016). Irvine also ranks as the third-best city in America for working parents. Over the past 45 years, Irvine's population has grown from 10,000 to nearly 260,000 residents.

Li Chen
By Li Chen, Vice President, HVS
Irvine, California, United States
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Report
January 31, 2017

In Focus: Nashville, TN

Nashville, capital of Tennessee, has experienced a renaissance in the last several years. Booming health care, manufacturing, and technology industries coupled with a low cost of living has led to strong population and employment growth. The ramping up of the Music City Center has bolstered room-night demand and helped push hotel occupancy to a new peak. Furthermore, the city's growing national and global profile has led to significant increases in travel and tourism; Nashville was the only U.S. city listed on Lonely Planet's Top Ten City Destinations of 2016. The following HVS In Focus report details recent performance and market trends relevant to the Nashville hotel industry, as well as data and forecasts that can assist hotel stakeholders with buying, selling, and holding opportunities.

J. Carter Allen
By J. Carter Allen, Managing Director, HVS
Nashville, Tennessee, United States
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Report
January 24, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Why Aren’t Hotels Being Built in Ski Towns?

In ski resort towns across the U.S. and Canada, a large and growing number of people are hitting the slopes. In the 2015/16 ski season alone, total skier visits approached 64 million, an increase of about 1.9 million skiers from the previous season. The most recent performance is still about 3.6 million skier visits lower than the peak season of 2010/11, showing that the industry has room for even more growth. Yet despite the climbing numbers and the continued potential for growth, few ski resorts have realized an increase in their bed base. The limited supply increases have come in the form of fractions or timeshares, not traditional hotels.

Brett Russell
By Brett Russell, Senior Vice President and Director of Business Development with HVS, HVS
United States
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Report
January 24, 2017

US Hotel Value Gains Moderate as RevPAR Growth Slows and Cap Rates Rise

Hotel investment activity experienced a bumpy ride in 2016. With a slowdown in RevPAR growth, a stalled CMBS market, and concerns about increased supply, cap rates rose and deal activity slowed. The year ended on a positive note as lodging REIT stocks rallied and economic growth is projected to strengthen. This article, which is published biennially, discusses trends in hotel capitalization rates and provides an outlook for 2017.Following exceptionally strong hotel transaction activity in 2015, the market stalled in the first quarter of 2016 and then rebounded, ending the year with a healthy level of transactions, comparable to the level reached in 2014. Total volume in 2016, based on preliminary data reported by Real Capital Analytics (illustrated in the chart below), reached $35 billion, a decline of 30% from the $50 billion of hotel transactions in 2015, which represented a peak for the current cycle. Deal activity was put off during the first quarter of 2016, as investors and lenders reacted to the stock market correction. The Dow declined by over 8% in early January 2016 and did not fully recover until April. Transaction activity was down 60% and 43% year-over-year for the first two quarters, respectively, and then rebounded strongly in the third quarter of the year. Despite slowing RevPAR and net income growth, capital in search of yield and a safe haven continues to be attracted to the lodging industry. Hotel values continued to rise modestly in most markets over the course of the year, despite the rise in capitalization rates, due to continued RevPAR and NOI gains.The average price per key derived from total sales volume declined by 8% from $156,000 to $144,000, due primarily to the profile and locational mix of assets that transacted. A smaller number of large, full- service hotels were sold during the year, affecting overall volume and average price per key. In addition, fewer hotels were sold in the major metro markets, while investors turned to secondary and tertiary markets such as Atlanta, Dallas/Ft. Worth, Phoenix/Scottsdale, Austin, San Antonio, Birmingham, Chattanooga, among others, in search of more affordable, value-add opportunities.Major hotel sales, defined as those that sold for a price of $10 million and over, declined by 28%, and the average PPK declined by 9%, from $244,000 to $222,000 per room. The price-per-key trends should not be viewed as the value declines, as average sales price per key are greatly affected by the composition of assets sold.

Suzanne Mellen
By Suzanne Mellen, Senior Managing Director - Practice Leader, San Francisco, HVS
United States
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tourism-review.com
Report
January 24, 2017

Canadian Tourism Is Getting Back On Its Feet | tourism-review.com

In 2015, 18 million foreign visitors stepped onto Canadian soil, the largest tourist destination in the last nine years, according to a report released by Statistique Canada. Far from a record, this is a return to normal for Canadian tourism.

tourism-review.com
tourism-review.com
Canada
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Report
January 18, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Washington, D.C.

Although the federal government remains the dominant influence in Washington, D.C., a diverse array of industries and institutions have contributed to and supported the growth and expansion of the region. The finance, education, healthcare, and scientific-research industries are strongly represented in and around the District, and the region is home to 20 colleges and universities, as well as Adventist HealthCare and multiple major regional hospitals. Some of the most influential financial institutions call D.C. home, including the Federal Reserve, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the U.S. Export-Import Bank. Greater Washington, D.C. also stands among the nation's top markets for commercial office space and global real estate investment. A world-class array of museums and cultural attractions support a robust tourist trade, while the convention center hosts multiple regional, national, and international events each year.

Chelsey LeffetAnne Lloyd-Jones
By Chelsey Leffet and Anne Lloyd-Jones
Washington, District of Columbia, United States
USS Sports Machine
Report
January 18, 2017

The 2017 Super Bowl’s Impact on Houston

Super Bowl LI is right around the corner, and this year the big game is taking place in Houston, Texas. The NFL is the largest professional sports league in America, and the Super Bowl always brings quite a bit of business to its host city.

Jason Gordon
By Jason Gordon, Columnist, USS Sports Machine
Houston, Texas, United States
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Report
January 2, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Salt Lake City, Utah

Salt Lake City, Utah's capital and most populous city, dates its founding back to 1847. Since then, the city has realized a course of evolutions, some of which are currently underway. These include infrastructural developments such as pivotal transcontinental highways (earning Salt Lake City its designation as the Crossroads of the American West), ascension to the international stage through events such as the 2002 Winter Olympics, and hundreds of millions of dollars in business and commercial expansions, including the current planning for the city's northwest quadrant.

Ryan MarkKaty Black
By Ryan Mark and Katy Black
Salt Lake City, Utah, United States
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Report
January 2, 2017

In Focus: Niagara Falls Area, Ontario, Canada

The city of Niagara Falls, Ontario, is on the Canadian side of Niagara Falls, which forms the international border between the Canadian province of Ontario and the US state of New York. The natural wonder of Niagara Falls, which is the collective name for the Horseshoe Falls, the adjacent American Falls, and the smaller Bridal Veil Falls, is a major tourist attraction for the city of Niagara Falls, attracting 12 million visitors every year. Combined, the three falls have the highest flow rate of any waterfall in the world—and a vertical drop of more than 165 feet.

Jingjianxiong ShiMonique Rosszell
By Jingjianxiong Shi and Monique Rosszell
Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
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Logo 'HVS International'
Report
January 2, 2017

HVS Market Pulse: Northern New Jersey’s “Pharm” Country

Somerset County, which dates back to its agricultural roots in 1688 and is now one of the world's foremost pharmaceutical industry centers, still maintains its historical rustic presence. The county, however, along with those of Middlesex and Morris in northern New Jersey, is undergoing a surge in office space and mixed-use development, and this is producing a new wealth of hotel demand for the area. Northern New Jersey's hotel market and submarkets have benefitted from major corporate expansions over the past several years, which have brought a substantial rise in corporate lodging demand. This HVS Market Pulse report details the area's major economic entities and office-space expansions and their impact on the local lodging market.A Diversity of Major Demand GeneratorsSomerset County's proximity to New York City brings the benefit of additional travelers through the area, especially those generated by consumer services. Yet while continuing to draw from New York City's roaring economic engine, the economy of northern New Jersey boasts many of its own economic cornerstones and major hotel demand generators. Fortune 500 mega-companies including Verizon, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline, MetLife, and AT&T are the most prominent pillars of the greater northern New Jersey economy and continue to produce high volumes of commercial room nights for local hotels. Employers in the fields of biotechnology, health care, and pharmaceuticals are deeply entrenched in Somerset, Morris, and Middlesex Counties. These counties have long been preferred destinations for pharmaceutical and healthcare corporations because of the presence of an educated workforce and the nearby Newark International Airport. Hotel demand generators in Middlesex County include the shipping and distribution companies in Raritan Center and the Technology Centre of New Jersey, which was established by the New Jersey Economic Development Authority as a high-tech business park. The Technology Centre's 75- acre campus, located in a research-and-development (R&D) corridor between Princeton University and Rutgers University, was designed to meet the needs of emerging R&D companies in the advanced materials, biosciences, communications, and microelectronics industries. Also in Middlesex County, Robert Wood Johnson University Hospital (RWJUH) is a 610-bed academic medical center affiliated with Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. U.S. News & World Report ranks the hospital as one of the best in America for its cancer and pediatric urology specialties. Construction began on a seven-story parking garage topped with two stories of medical office space in early 2014, and the hospital was approved for an additional tower to house new intensive-care units, operating rooms, private patient bedrooms, and a pavilion. In the past year, three major corporations have announced plans to move to Somerset County. Just this summer, Linde Americas, one of the world's largest gas and engineering companies, relocated into the Somerset Corporate Center. Daiichi Sankyo, the second-largest pharmaceutical company in Japan, is in the process of moving its headquarters to the former Avaya headquarters in Basking Ridge, and employees are expected to begin to transition to the new building in 2017. In addition, Nestle Health Science announced its move to the former Sanofi U.S. Research and Development Campus in Bridgewater. A $250-million makeover of this property is anticipated to begin next year.Transforming Office Space into "Metro Burbs"According to REIS, the greater northern New Jersey market offers over 100 million square feet of office space. Northern New Jersey, which has always been a bedroom community for New York City, continues to offer tax incentives and lower rents to entice Manhattan office tenants to set up shop over the state line. The area's office space offers Class-A features similar to the office buildings of New York City, though with more space at considerably lower prices. Most recently, developers have been seeking to transform vacant suburban office parks in northern New Jersey into attractive mixed-use developments. A prime example of this repositioning can be seen in Somerset County, where the redevelopment of the New Jersey Center of Excellence is planned to include 400 luxury residences, restaurants, a wellness center, a grocery store, entertainment venues, shops, and outdoor recreation. In Morris County, the Mack-Cali Realty Group recently acquired a vacant 150,000-square-foot, three-story, Class-A office building. The scope of the renovations is expected to include a full-service fitness center, a business-class conference center, and numerous dining options. The potential gain for northern New Jersey hotels from these office-space opportunities and mixed-use developments comes in part in the form of better average rates, as the spaces should draw higher-rated clientele. These developments should also reinforce the market's strong foundation of commercial demand.OutlookPharmaceutical and healthcare companies, many belonging to the Fortune 500, underpin the economy of northern New Jersey, which is going through a period of growth. The strength of the area's office market also continues to attract high- rated, long-term tenants. Hotel occupancy in the market is anticipated to remain stable, with RevPAR and average rate gains supported by the area's high level of corporate demand. With the local economy expected to continue to grow, the outlook for the northern New Jersey hotel market remains positive.

Kim Lindell
By Kim Lindell, Project Manager at HVS Philadelphia, HVS
New Jersey, United States
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Report
December 22, 2016

HVS Market Pulse: Perspectives on the New York City Lodging Market

With average rates declining by 1.5% in 2015 and on track to drop at more than double that pace in 2016, the New York City lodging market has received a lot of negative press of late. Between the significant increase in supply and the lackluster average rate performance, the once golden market is now viewed as tarnished. Some hotel owners are selling assets, preferring not to ride out the current downturn; RLJ recently sold two hotels in New York, noting "While we continue to believe in the New York City market over the long term, in the near term, these sales reduce our exposure as this market goes through a soft period." Additionally, some investors and lenders have expressed reluctance to even consider getting in to the market.

Anne Lloyd-Jones
By Anne Lloyd-Jones, MAI, CRE, Director of Consulting & Valuation Services, National Practice Leader, at HVS New York, HVS
United States
AETHOS Consulting Group
Report
December 2, 2016

AETHOS Consulting Group Shares 2017 Predictions, US

With just weeks left in the 2016 calendar year, AETHOS Consulting Group in New York, Los Angeles, London and Melbourne have gathered their thoughts and will boldly share their predictions, concerns and issues for the coming year. And while AETHOS executives focus on issues relative to their respective parts of the globe, issues naturally transcend and impact our industry worldwide.

David MansbachKeith Kefgen
By David Mansbach and Keith Kefgen
United States
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Report
November 28, 2016

Las Vegas Casino & Hotel Market Outlook 2016

Las Vegas lives on reputation. A city of enticement, its draws include world-renowned institutions and venues for gambling, dining, entertainment, conventions and meetings, and high-end shopping. Gaming, both in terms of visitors who come to gamble and gaming wins per visitor, is evidently in decline in the market. Hence, there is a continuing need for casino owners and hoteliers in Las Vegas to track and focus on other ways in which visitors create revenue. The generation of more non-gaming revenue should make the market better equipped to withstand future economic downturns.

Bomie KimShannon Okada
By Bomie Kim and Shannon Okada
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Report
November 14, 2016

HVS Market Pulse: Branson, MO

Named after the owner of the area's first general store and later developed as a center for lumber shipments, Branson, Missouri, had an inauspicious start as a tourism destination. Over the course of the past century, however, Branson has built a reputation as a "family friendly" counterpart to Las Vegas, featuring a high density of live music and theater performance venues along a stretch of State Highway 76 nicknamed "The Strip."

Justin Westad
By Justin Westad, Vice President at HVS Minneapolis, HVS
Branson, Missouri, United States
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Report
October 11, 2016

HVS Market Pulse: Baton Rouge, LA

Baton Rouge, aka the "Red Stick," was so named by 17th century French explorers who came upon a native boundary marker at the top of a bluff, in the form of pole painted red. Now the capital city of the state of Louisiana, Baton Rouge is also the seat of East Baton Rouge Parish and the political hub of Louisiana.

Bunmi Oyinloye
By Bunmi Oyinloye, Senior Vice President, Leader - Houston Office, Houston, HVS
Baton Rouge, Louisiana, United States
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Report
October 4, 2016

2016 Manhattan Lodging Overview 2Q

The 2016 HVS Manhattan Lodging Overview examines the effects of up and down economic cycles on Manhattan hotels, reviewing trends in hotel performance, supply, and demand over the past 25 years. The report also provides the most current information available on today's market, as well as forecasts for supply growth and hotel performance.

Roland deMilleretChris Fernandes
By Roland deMilleret and Chris Fernandes
New York, New York, United States
costar
Report
September 1, 2016

Freitag’s 5: July occupancy drops, demand sets record | hotelnewsnow.com

July's occupancy decline was the sharpest of 2016 so far, but July was also the highest room demand month ever. Here are five things you need to know about how the U.S. hotel industry performed in July, courtesy of STR, HNN's parent company.

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HotelNewsNow
United States
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