U.S. Hotel Forecast Assumptions – August 2026
STR and Tourism Economics raise 2026 U.S. RevPAR growth to +4.4%, boosted by World Cup premiums, with 2027 growth moderating to +2.1% amid macroeconomic normalization.
STR and Tourism Economics raise 2026 U.S. RevPAR growth to +4.4%, boosted by World Cup premiums, with 2027 growth moderating to +2.1% amid macroeconomic normalization.
A counterfactual analysis of all 11 U.S. host cities finds the 2026 World Cup generated $680M in incremental rooms revenue, driven by ADR gains in every market even as occupancy fell in seven.
U.S. hotel RevPAR rose 7.3% year-over-year for the week ending 1 August 2026, with Philadelphia and St. Louis leading Top 25 Markets while Las Vegas posted the steepest declines.
CoStar and Tourism Economics raised their 2026-27 U.S. hotel outlook at the Hotel Data Conference, lifting RevPAR by 1.6 ppts and ADR by 1.1 ppts, with GOPPAR forecast to rise 4% in 2026.
LWHA's Q2 2026 survey tracked 107 U.S. hotel sales over $10M totaling $3.8B, showing a 20% year-over-year rise in trades while deal size and price per room compressed amid a K-shaped recovery favoring luxury.
GBTA's 2026 BTI report projects global business travel spending will hit $1.71 trillion, with trip volume growing just 1.3% versus 7.2% spending growth, reflecting rising transportation costs.
U.S. hotels posted RevPAR growth of 6.3% for the week of 19-25 July 2026, with NYC leading gains driven by the World Cup final and Las Vegas dragged down by tough year-ago comparisons.
Shiji's benchmark of 224,171 reviews across 1,819 hotels in 14 host cities finds GRI improved in both the US and Mexico, with Mexico outperforming on all key metrics and F&B scoring a 9.27-point gain.
HVS forecasts 4.5% U.S. RevPAR growth for 2026, lifted by World Cup demand and revenge travel, with transaction cap rates averaging 7.7% in Q2 and sales volume up 9.1% over Q1.
GBTA and ALTOUR forecast global business travel costs to stay elevated through 2026, with airfares up 4.7% and hotel ADR up 3.7%, before moderating in 2027 as structural pressures persist.
U.S. hotel RevPAR rose 8.4% year-over-year in June 2026, the strongest monthly gain since March 2023, with San Francisco and Miami leading Top 25 Markets driven by World Cup demand.
LE's Q2 2026 U.S. Construction Pipeline Report shows Dallas leading hotel construction across all stages, while Atlanta tops the newly released 2028 new hotel openings forecast.
U.S. hotel RevPAR rose 6.3% year-over-year for the week of 12-18 July 2026, with NYC leading gains as the World Cup final eve drove ADR up 105% on Saturday night.
Wyndham posted Q2 2026 net income of $102M (up 17% YoY), with U.S. RevPAR up 2%, adjusted EBITDA up 9% to $212M, and a record pipeline of 261,000 rooms.
Lodging Econometrics' Q2 2026 U.S. pipeline report shows 5,975 projects in development, with 832 new hotels forecast to open in 2028 at a 1.5% growth rate.
Canada hotels saw occupancy fall 3.5% in June 2026, though ADR rose 5.4% to CAD252.63; results were shaped by the FIFA World Cup in Vancouver and Toronto, and event-driven spikes in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.
Analysis of 2026 FIFA World Cup hotel data across 16 host cities reveals key pricing, supply, and demand lessons for hoteliers preparing for the 2030 tournament.
A U.S. Travel Association poll of 2,205 Americans finds 81% felt proud seeing international visitors during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 70% supporting pursuit of more major global events.
MMGY's 2026 Portrait of American Travelers Summer Edition finds 49% of Americans plan a leisure trip in 3 months, but spending has softened as travelers grow more selective about destinations.
HVS analysis of Marble Falls, TX finds 208 new hotel rooms and 7,000+ sq ft of meeting space coming in 2026, positioning the Hill Country market to capture group and extended-stay demand beyond its weekend leisure base.