Ireland Market Beat H1 2024

Investment Trends

For H1 2024 a total of €655M was transacted, a near fourfold increase on the approximately €173M traded in H1 2023 – this pushed transaction volumes over the past year to an all-time high of almost €790M. Activity was supported by continued good operational performance across the sector and a couple of large deals including the sales of the Shelbourne Hotel and a majority stake in the Dean Hotel Group.

Prime Yields

Prime yields have moved modestly higher over the past twelve months but looking forward we expect them to stabilise, boosted by gradually looser ECB monetary policy with the first steps in this journey occurring in June with a 25 basis point interest rate cut. With growing appetite among investors and liquidity in the debt markets, we expect to see a gradual yield sharpening for prime assets as we progress into 2025.

Market Performance

Despite ongoing supply growth, the occupancy and ADR in Irish hotels remained healthy in H1 2024, with only minor softening relative to H1 2023. While RevPAR in Ireland declined by 1.2% to €125 in H1 2024, it was the 3rd-highest level in Europe. In Dublin, the occupancy reached 80% in H1 2024, the second highest in Europe, albeit a minor decline from 2023. This, combined with a 4% drop in ADR, resulted in a 5% RevPAR decrease, although 23% above pre-Covid level in 2019.

Supply Outlook

510 new rooms were delivered in Dublin in H1 while Premier Inn also opened their first hotel in Cork in January. We estimate there are currently in excess of 1,700 hotel rooms under construction in Dublin (around 6% of Dublin’s room stock) while two hotels in Cork are also due to open later this year. The new supply is welcome to satisfy growing demand, particularly in the Dublin market, albeit the increased competitiveness might constrain occupancy and ADR growth.

Demand Outlook

Ireland’s economic outlook continues to support the hotel sector. Employment hit another all-time high of 2.71 million while wages (up 4.7% year on year in Q1) are now growing in real terms as inflation (2.2% in June 2024) eases. Tourist trends also continue to be strong. Overnight trips by foreign visitors (over rolling 12-month periods) gradually rose in the first half of the year as has the average spend.

Scandic Go Continues to Expand

Scandic has signed a long-term lease agreement for two new Scandic Go hotels in central Gothenburg and Umeå. The hotels are expected to open in 2026 with a total of 276 rooms, and the project involves converting existing office buildings. This will bring the number of Scandic Go hotels in the company’s pipeline to five with a total of 876 rooms in Sweden and Finland.

Marriott Expands Footprint in France with 10 Additions Anticipated by the End of 2025

Marriott International, Inc., announced its plans to expand its portfolio in France with the expected addition of 10 properties with over 1,000 rooms by the end of 2025. The anticipated openings will further strengthen the company’s footprint in France, where it currently has a portfolio of 69 properties with over 12,000 rooms across 16 brands and 29 cities, including Paris, Nice, Cannes, Lyon, Strasbourg, Marseille, Reims, Lille, Bordeaux and Toulouse.

Continuing Dutch Expansion: Ruby Unveils Project in Rotterdam

Ruby Hotels proudly announces its second project in the Netherlands, following the success of its flagship in Amsterdam. Located in Rotterdam's vibrant Glashaven district, the new project will offer approx. 225 meticulously designed rooms and lively public areas. Partnering with Foruminvest, a European hotel developer, promises to deliver an unparalleled Lean Luxury experience in one of Rotterdam's most exciting neighborhoods.

IHG Hotels & Resorts adds almost 1,000 rooms to Portuguese pipeline

IHG Hotels & Resorts (IHG), one of the world’s leading hotel companies, announces the signing of nine hotels across Portugal, adding 976 rooms to the country’s growing and strong pipeline, as it continues to benefit from rapid growth. The signings cover three IHG brand collections including luxury and lifestyle, with the announcement of Kimpton Lisbon, Hotel Indigo Albufeira and Hotel Indigo Faro - and its Essentials Collection which comprises six signings across the Holiday Inn and Holiday Inn Express brands – including suites offerings.