U.S. Hotel Forecast Assumptions – August 2026
STR and Tourism Economics raise 2026 U.S. RevPAR growth to +4.4%, boosted by World Cup premiums, with 2027 growth moderating to +2.1% amid macroeconomic normalization.
STR and Tourism Economics raise 2026 U.S. RevPAR growth to +4.4%, boosted by World Cup premiums, with 2027 growth moderating to +2.1% amid macroeconomic normalization.
Amadeus surveyed 6,000 travelers and 500 hoteliers for Travel Dreams 2026, uncovering key trends in AI adoption, loyalty program innovation, and user-generated content as a demand driver.
As five hotel groups surpass one million rooms, the author argues that volume metrics obscure the real competition: per-key value creation, driven by management contracts, upscale positioning, and lifestyle brands.
Global GRI hit a record 87.3% in Q2 2026, with 3-star hotels improving fastest, Asia leading regionally, and review response speed emerging as a core reputation driver.
A counterfactual analysis of all 11 U.S. host cities finds the 2026 World Cup generated $680M in incremental rooms revenue, driven by ADR gains in every market even as occupancy fell in seven.
U.S. hotel RevPAR rose 7.3% year-over-year for the week ending 1 August 2026, with Philadelphia and St. Louis leading Top 25 Markets while Las Vegas posted the steepest declines.
CoStar and Tourism Economics raised their 2026-27 U.S. hotel outlook at the Hotel Data Conference, lifting RevPAR by 1.6 ppts and ADR by 1.1 ppts, with GOPPAR forecast to rise 4% in 2026.
WTTC's 2025 EIR Global Trends Report finds Travel & Tourism investment surpassed $1 trillion, up 8.5% year-on-year, with the sector contributing a record $11.6 trillion to world GDP.
WTTC forecasts a 14.5% contraction in Middle East tourism GDP in 2026 due to conflict, but projects 6.3% annual growth through 2036, making it the world's fastest-growing tourism region.
LWHA's Q2 2026 survey tracked 107 U.S. hotel sales over $10M totaling $3.8B, showing a 20% year-over-year rise in trades while deal size and price per room compressed amid a K-shaped recovery favoring luxury.
GBTA's 2026 BTI report projects global business travel spending will hit $1.71 trillion, with trip volume growing just 1.3% versus 7.2% spending growth, reflecting rising transportation costs.
Hyatt Q2 2026 saw system-wide RevPAR rise 5.9%, gross fees up 7.8% to $324M, and Adjusted EBITDA of $297M, with full-year RevPAR growth guidance set at 3.5%–4.5%.
Greek hotel revenue grew 10.1% in H1 2026 on just 0.6% volume growth, with pricing power intact but occupancy stabilising and risks rising from energy costs, source-market weakness, and airline capacity uncertainty.
U.S. hotels posted RevPAR growth of 6.3% for the week of 19-25 July 2026, with NYC leading gains driven by the World Cup final and Las Vegas dragged down by tough year-ago comparisons.
Shiji's benchmark of 224,171 reviews across 1,819 hotels in 14 host cities finds GRI improved in both the US and Mexico, with Mexico outperforming on all key metrics and F&B scoring a 9.27-point gain.
HVS forecasts 4.5% U.S. RevPAR growth for 2026, lifted by World Cup demand and revenge travel, with transaction cap rates averaging 7.7% in Q2 and sales volume up 9.1% over Q1.
Vrbo's 1,758-traveler global study finds 86% will pay more for higher-quality listings, with cleanliness, reliable amenities, and host responsiveness topping the list of trust drivers.
Accor reports H1 2026 RevPAR up 2.2% (4.6% ex-Middle East), recurring EBITDA up 6.5% to €563M, and free cash flow up 42%, with a €1,260-1,285M full-year EBITDA outlook.
Booking.com's inaugural Travel Happiness Index, surveying 10,136 travellers across 10 APAC markets, finds 98% associate travel with positive emotions and 90% will adapt plans rather than cancel when disruptions occur.
Budapest led CEE-6 capitals in occupancy in H1 2026 with RevPAR near €90 (up 15% YoY), but rate growth lags peers, GOP growth is uneven, and investment activity is picking up post-elections.