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Opinion Articles

Opinion Article

Denver Hotel Market Outlook: Signs of Stabilization and Rate Recovery by 2026

After an early post-pandemic rebound, Denver’s hotel market lost momentum in late 2023. Occupancy growth stalled in October 2023 as the leisure surge faded and corporate travel recovery plateaued, followed by limited rate growth through much of 2024. Occupancy declined each month from September 2024 through August 2025, as corporate and transient demand softened and government transient and group demand declined more significantly this year.

Katy Black
By Katy Black, Senior Vice President at HVS Denver, HVS
Denver, Colorado, United States
Opinion Article

San Francisco’s Hotel Investment Outlook Brightens

The San Francisco lodging market has been experiencing a major rebound in performance, with RevPAR up 8.9% as of year-to-date August. This improvement has been driven by a strong convention calendar, major employers implementing return-to-office mandates, and modest growth in tourism levels. San Francisco Travel Association anticipates Moscone Center will generate over 650,000 room nights in 2025, which equates to roughly 106.0% of 2023 levels but only 68.0% of peak 2019 performance. Salesforce, the city’s largest private employer, implemented a full return-to-office policy in January 2025. Gap, Inc. has been phasing in a return to office, increasing from two days a week in January to five days a week by the end of September 2025. The City of San Francisco has also implemented a four-day in-person mandate beginning August 2025.

John Berean
By John Berean, Senior Vice President, San Francisco, HVS
San Francisco, California, United States
Opinion Article

Correctional Crisis Spurs Hotel Boom in Upstate New York

On February 17, 2025, thousands of corrections officers at more than 25 prisons across Upstate New York went on strike over staffing shortages, poor working conditions, and the implementation of the HALT Act, which limits the use of solitary confinement in New York State prisons and jails. In an address to the public, New York State Governor Kathy Hochul reported that these strikes were considered illegal, as the state’s Taylor Law prohibits public employees from striking. The strike lasted 22 days before the State and the New York State Correctional Officers & Police Benevolent Association (NYSCOPBA) reached an agreement that brought many of the striking employees back to work.

Cole Masler
By Cole Masler, Project Manager, New York, HVS
New York, New York, United States
Opinion Article

Is Trump Torpedoing His Own Hospitality Sector?

That the persona of Donald Trump stirs strong emotions is clear. The same can be said about his policies. In particular his trade policy is seen by many non-Americans as an attack on long-standing friendships. The way Trump forces countries into (trade) concessions rubs so many the wrong way that they no longer view the U.S. as a reliable ally. In that light, economic shifts are taking place with major consequences, including for the number of visitors to the United States—and therefore for the U.S. hospitality sector.

Alexander Sassen
By Alexander Sassen, Lecturer Finance & ESG, Hotelschool The Hague
United States
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Opinion Article

Galveston’s Lodging Sector Evolves with Cruise Growth, Supply Changes, and Regulatory Shifts

Galveston’s lodging market is being reshaped by capital investments and regulatory changes. Since 2019, more than $400 million has been spent on new cruise terminals, resort redevelopments, and boutique hotel conversions, while cruise passenger counts reached a record 1.7 million in 2024. With new projects underway and new short-term-rental oversights, growth will be affected by shifting supply and demand dynamics.

Bunmi Oyinloye
By Bunmi Oyinloye, Senior Vice President, Leader - Houston Office, Houston, HVS
Galveston, Texas, United States
Opinion Article

Texas Goes All In For Convention Centers

Convention Centers have emerged as a hub of industry, commerce, culture, and architecture. Since they first marked the maps in the mid-20th-century U.S., they have become a symbol of economic progress. As the global events industry rebounds from the COVID-19 pandemic’s disruption, convention centers across the U.S. are rapidly transforming to meet the evolving expectations of today’s planners and attendees. Events are no longer just about networking and sharing information; they are full-fledged experiences, powered by smart infrastructure, flexible layouts, immersive technology, and access to vibrant urban surroundings.

Tarika Jain
By Tarika Jain, Senior Associate, Chicago, HVS
Texas, United States
Opinion Article

More Than Music: Group Demand Hits a High Note in Nashville

It's no secret that Nashville has emerged as a top-tier destination for tourism, commerce, and conventions. Tourism exploded as the city’s popular music-related attractions gained national attention and social groups flocked to the Broadway Historic District to enjoy the array of venues named for a multitude of country music stars. At the same time, corporate relocations and investment flourished as the city’s business-friendly environment, relatively low cost of living, and strong quality of life attracted many firms, including major technology companies like Oracle and Amazon. During this period, hotel demand (and subsequently hotel supply) expanded rapidly, kickstarted by the opening of the Music City Center convention facility in 2013. Through 2019, Nashville hotel occupancy levels soared, and developers were unable to build hotels fast enough to keep up with demand.

Marc Greeley
By Marc Greeley, Director, HVS Nashville, HVS
Nashville, Tennessee, United States
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Opinion Article

Navigating the Longer Road Back: The Recovery of Manhattan’s Hotel Market

The Manhattan market has been experiencing a prolonged post-pandemic occupancy recovery, despite strong ADR gains. Although legislative and supply changes should bolster this recovery, recent geopolitical factors and the tariffs and policy changes enacted by the new federal administration are expected to affect short-term hotel market trends. Our current demand forecast shows a full recovery beyond 2019 levels by 2027/28.

Patricia ShihRoland de Milleret
By Patricia Shih and Roland de Milleret
New York, New York, United States
Opinion Article

State of the District: A Look at the Washington, D.C., Lodging Market

Decisions at the federal level, such as import tariffs, are affecting global markets, and cuts initiated by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) are having impacts across the nation. These policies are also significantly affecting hotels in Washington, D.C., the market located at the heart of the federal government.

Christian Cross
By Christian Cross, Vice President, HVS Buffalo, HVS
Washington D.C., Washington, United States
Opinion Article

The Changing Landscape and Recovery of the Newark Airport Hotel Market

The Newark Airport hotel market has faced significant adjustments since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Changes to the submarket’s hotel supply, coupled with the rebound in passenger levels through Newark Airport, have resulted in a slow but steady recovery of the hotel market. Recent and upcoming expansion projects at Newark Airport support a positive outlook.

Cole Masler
By Cole Masler, Project Manager, New York, HVS
Newark, New Jersey, United States