In 2025, the U.S. lodging sector faces a challenging landscape, characterized by a combination of macroeconomic and capital market factors, including an uncertain tariff environment, an in-flux immigration policy, elevated interest rate environment, and potentially higher inflation. As a result of the macroeconomic headwinds, GDP in 2025 is expected to grow by 0.7%, compared to 2.5% in 2024, on a fourth quarter over fourth quarter basis. Steady, albeit still high, inflation is anticipated to rise to 2.7% in 2025, which coupled with geopolitical uncertainties is expected to significantly influence consumer behavior, particularly impacting the lower-priced chain scale segments. As a result, our forecast expects RevPAR growth to decelerate significantly to 0.8%. The key risks continue to be on room night demand, just as lodging supply growth is reverting to its long-term average of ~2.0%. Key demand performance trends and risks include: