Demand forecasts are always wrong. Agility is more important than accurate forecasting.
As a seasoned Revenue and Profit Optimization professional I would like to reitarate (which I have already expressed in my book Hospitality 2.0 and other publications): travel demand has always been uncertain, and history never repeats itself. Recent events just highlighted this fact for all of us (again), just like COVID did, and many events before that.
Now that the industry has come to this understanding, it's time to build a better "model of our reality" that can incorporate the uncertainty in a more optimal manner. It's time to rebuild our forecasting methods. Again, I describe this in detail in a separate chapter of my book.